Is Match Group Stock Underperforming the Dow?
With a market cap of $7.7 billion, Match Group, Inc. (MTCH) is a leading provider of digital dating products, operating a diverse portfolio of more than 45 global brands including Tinder, Hinge, Match.com, OkCupid, and Meetic. The company offers services in over 40 languages across multiple countries, catering to a wide range of demographics and relationship goals.
Companies valued at less than $10 billion are generally considered “mid-cap” stocks, and Match Group fits this criterion perfectly. With Tinder as its flagship app and primary growth driver, Match Group continues to shape the online dating industry through innovation and strategic brand development.
Shares of the Dallas, Texas-based company have declined 20.2% from its 52-week high of $38.84. Over the past three months, its shares have fallen 2.6%, underperforming the broader Dow Jones Industrials Average's ($DOWI) marginal rise during the same period.
Longer term, MTCH stock is down 5.2% on a YTD basis, lagging behind DOWI's over 1%. Moreover, shares of the media and internet company have risen 2.2% over the past 52 weeks, compared to DOWI’s 9.9% increase over the same time frame.
The stock has fallen below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages since late February. Yet, it has risen above its 50-day moving average since late May.
Despite beating revenue expectations with $831.2 million in Q1 2025, Match Group stock fell 9.6% on May 8 due to a 3% year-over-year revenue decline and a 5% drop in paying users to 14.2 million, signaling weakening core business performance. Additionally, operating income fell 7% to $173 million, and adjusted operating income slightly decreased to $275 million. Although the company rolled out new AI features and expects Q2 revenue of $850 million - $860 million, guidance implies flat to declining growth and ongoing challenges in engaging Gen Z users, reinforcing investor pessimism.
Nevertheless, rival Alphabet Inc. (GOOG) has lagged behind MTCH stock. GOOG stock has dropped 8.9% on a YTD basis and 6.4% over the past 52 weeks.
Despite the stock’s weak performance relative to the Dow, analysts remain moderately optimistic about its prospects. The stock has a consensus rating of “Moderate Buy” from 23 analysts in coverage, and as of writing, MTCH is trading below the mean price target of $34.33.
On the date of publication, Sohini Mondal did not have (either directly or indirectly) positions in any of the securities mentioned in this article. All information and data in this article is solely for informational purposes. For more information please view the Barchart Disclosure Policy here.